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Re: LF: East to West TA attempts

To: <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: LF: East to West TA attempts
From: "Jay Rusgrove" <[email protected]>
Date: Fri, 12 Jan 2007 11:45:44 -0500
Delivered-to: [email protected]
References: <000b01c734ed$af2cf0c0$6401a8c0@JAYTERMINAL> <005d01c734f2$5ac5f040$6901a8c0@AIRPORTTERMINAL> <003701c735a9$1a79bf00$17ccfc3e@g3kev> <[email protected]> <000501c7362b$573a4a40$2fe8fc3e@g3kev> <[email protected]> <[email protected]>
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All
 
2 cents...
 
I'm beginning to wonder if we're not looking at this backwards...
 
What I mean by that is, we're focusing on the current poor conditions as abnormal. It appears abnormal when compared to the few good nights of propagation we had about a week ago. Perhaps the few good nights were the anomoly and not the current poor conditions.
 
My reason for saying this is that I've looked over the past couple years notes on my TA receptions. In past years, assuming DST numbers today are equivelenet to those in past years (which may or may not be the case), I rarely if ever had a decent TA reception when the DST was in negative territory. 
 
To me, last weekend's good TA propagation with a DST of  -20 or -15 would be very unusual - using the past history as a guide.
 
2 cents...take it for what it's worth...
 
Jay W1VD / WD2XNS
 
   
 
 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Friday, January 12, 2007 10:48 AM
Subject: Re: LF: East to West TA attempts

All,

I wouldn't recommend losing sleep trying to get signals across at this
point. Conditions are quite poor, and may not get better quickly, as the
flow from a coronal hole will kick in around Monday. Jay and I will
likely be running enough over the weekend to see how things are going.
I'd be hesitant to put a timetable on the recovery, as this week's
propagation crash is not fully understood.

John A.

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