Sorry for letting you all down......after all those quiet periods just as 
things get interesting, I have had a major PC crash and have not rebuilt that 
machine yet(Idleness rules!). It has my html editor and images on it. I am 
keeping tabs on things with a notebook.

Unfortunately I dont have all the "research" bookmarks on this machine. The 
SWPC warning email suggests a Kp of 6 from the first storm but I believe there 
may be a bigger one on the way( arrive thursday nite or friday ). There is the 
possibility that the effects will be additive leading to a prolonged period of 
poor conditions. 

The state of the recovery is best indicated by the Dst index, and the rate it 
is returning towards -20 nT. I would not be surprised if conditions were down 
for around 3 weeks, with localised better days in the lst week. The consolation 
is that daytime propagation my improve for a couple of days after the mag 
storms, but it will never be better than the night-time conditions.

Alan 
G3NYK


--- On Wed, 7/3/12, Warren Ziegler <[email protected]> wrote:

> From: Warren Ziegler <[email protected]>
> Subject: LF: What say the Propagation Gurus?
> To: "rsgb_lf_group" <[email protected]>
> Date: Wednesday, 7 March, 2012, 14:29
> Seems like an active
> solar/geomagnetic period is upon us!
> Any thoughts from the propagation experts (Alan this means
> you!) as to
> what this portends for LF/MF conditions?
> 
> 
> -- 
> 73 Warren K2ORS
>                 WD2XGJ
>                 WD2XSH/23
>                 WE2XEB/2
>                 WE2XGR/1
> 
>