Return-Path: X-Spam-DCC: paranoid 1102; Body=2 Fuz1=2 Fuz2=2 X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 3.1.3 (2006-06-01) on lipkowski.org X-Spam-Level: ** X-Spam-Status: No, score=2.2 required=5.0 tests=BAYES_00,DNS_FROM_AHBL_RHSBL, FORGED_MUA_OUTLOOK,HTML_40_50,HTML_MESSAGE autolearn=no version=3.1.3 Received: from post.thorcom.com (post.thorcom.com [195.171.43.25]) by paranoid.lipkowski.org (8.13.7/8.13.7) with ESMTP id t2NImNxT009555 for ; Mon, 23 Mar 2015 19:48:23 +0100 Received: from majordom by post.thorcom.com with local (Exim 4.14) id 1Ya7JC-0001Kt-Uu for rs_out_1@blacksheep.org; Mon, 23 Mar 2015 18:42:42 +0000 Received: from [195.171.43.32] (helo=relay1.thorcom.net) by post.thorcom.com with esmtp (Exim 4.14) id 1Ya7JC-0001Kk-Jz for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Mon, 23 Mar 2015 18:42:42 +0000 Received: from rgout0201.bt.lon5.cpcloud.co.uk ([65.20.0.200]) by relay1.thorcom.net with esmtp (Exim 4.85) (envelope-from ) id 1Ya7It-000086-2i for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Mon, 23 Mar 2015 18:42:41 +0000 X-OWM-Source-IP: 86.149.134.136(GB) X-OWM-Env-Sender: alan.melia@btinternet.com X-CTCH-RefID: str=0001.0A090201.55105E8D.001F,ss=1,re=0.000,recu=0.000,reip=0.000,cl=1,cld=1,fgs=0 X-Junkmail-Premium-Raw: score=39/50,refid=2.7.2:2015.3.23.150922:17:39.532,ip=86.149.134.136,rules=__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, MSGID_32HEX_LC, INVALID_MSGID_NO_FQDN, __MSGID_32HEX, __HAS_FROM, __PHISH_FROM2, __FRAUD_WEBMAIL_FROM, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __TO_NO_NAME, __REFERENCES, LEO_OBFU_SUBJ_RE, __BOUNCE_CHALLENGE_SUBJ, __BOUNCE_NDR_SUBJ_EXEMPT, __SUBJ_ALPHA_END, __MIME_VERSION, __CT, __CTYPE_MULTIPART_ALT, __CTYPE_HAS_BOUNDARY, __CTYPE_MULTIPART, __HAS_X_PRIORITY, __HAS_MSMAIL_PRI, __HAS_X_MAILER, USER_AGENT_OE, __OUTLOOK_MUA_1, __USER_AGENT_MS_GENERIC, __ANY_URI, LINK_TO_IMAGE, __FRAUD_BODY_WEBMAIL, __URI_NO_WWW, __CP_URI_IN_BODY, __SUBJ_ALPHA_NEGATE, SUPERLONG_LINE, __HAS_HTML, BODYTEXTP_SIZE_3000_LESS, BODY_SIZE_6000_6999, BODYTEXTH_SIZE_10000_LESS, __MIME_HTML, __TAG_EXISTS_HTML, __STYLE_RATWARE_NEG, RDNS_GENERIC_POOLED, __URI_NS, SXL_IP_DYNAMIC[136.134.149.86.fur], RDNS_SUSP_GENERIC, __PHISH_FROM, __OUTLOOK_MUA, RDNS_SUSP, __FRAUD_WEBMAIL, FORGED_MUA_OUTLOOK, BODY_SIZE_7000_LESS, REFERENCES X-CTCH-Spam: Unknown Received: from gnat (86.149.134.136) by rgout02.bt.lon5.cpcloud.co.uk (8.6.122.06) (authenticated as alan.melia@btinternet.com) id 550C083500628200 for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Mon, 23 Mar 2015 18:42:20 +0000 DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=btinternet.com; s=btcpcloud; t=1427136143; bh=khFLTPa9ZNgaOtYQlkfzoylGdB8X87dYSBzBIYxgNgU=; h=Message-ID:From:To:References:Subject:Date:MIME-Version:X-Mailer; b=eCEK/aXxZ9xjhhBUxz93rTFuWPN/sTRBAmew7Fhl6OdXyKK5JBvq23DHHX8JdmkuFvjPkcyxs2vz3XPIQgF533D7PveNLYTCDJFxLDihIokIGt1XJAADYNPPiJz0bxaEFWmmL6VHRvUtyfm7z+1NomDst0nnzbCVm/QI5M7csl0= Message-ID: From: "Alan Melia" To: References: Date: Mon, 23 Mar 2015 18:42:00 -0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2900.5931 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2900.6157 X-Scan-Signature: efdc09b6b31095aa2dc5c6d2552910d5 Subject: LF: Re: Poor conditions Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_007B_01D06599.0C924AA0" X-SA-Exim-Scanned: Yes Sender: owner-rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org Precedence: bulk Reply-To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org X-Listname: rsgb_lf_group X-SA-Exim-Rcpt-To: rs_out_1@blacksheep.org X-SA-Exim-Scanned: No; SAEximRunCond expanded to false X-Scanned-By: MIMEDefang 2.56 on 10.1.3.10 Status: O X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 2775 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_007B_01D06599.0C924AA0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Hi Laurence and Roelof, Yes that was a big one on the 17th. I dont = remember the Dst being depressed to -230nT for some quite long time. My = thumbnail estimate says that it could take at least 14 days and possibly = up to 21 days to really get back to to good conditions again. The = succession of shocks really loaded up the ring current, and although the = Dst has risen to -35nT its rate of increase has flattened out. Because the CME "snow-ploughed" it way though a coronal hole high speed = stream the event produced a large multiple proton event which has died = away now, but the PCA effects tend to linger. We are still gettting = shocks (Kp 6 yesterday and Kp=3D5 today) which may be "sub-storms". = These occur when ions and electrons trapped in the mageto-tail are "spat = back" towards Earth (another glob of plasma is spat in the opposite = direction to conserve momentum) The mechanism is much like he release of = energy from the strained Solar magnetic field that produced the CME. The = trapped hot electrons "wind up" the field in the magneto-tail until it = "snaps" into a lower energy state. The lost energy is carried by the = ejected particles. Alan G3NYK=20 ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Laurence KL7 L=20 To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org=20 Sent: Monday, March 23, 2015 3:57 PM Subject: LF: Poor conditions Since the 17th at 0650Z and the start of the latest solar wind/geo = effective uptick there have been no skywave WSPR2 475kHz decodes here in = Alaska - this is the longest run of "nil points" Ive seen for a long = time. That's nearly a week - =20 However down on 136kHz, and keep my "is my rx working" sanity JA1CGM = continues to blast away as "CGM" most nights on QRSS60, sometime = faster, around 136.1725 - 0930-1100Z on the better days making the = 5000Kms or so path =20 Signals have gradually deteriorated as we continue to top up the = attenuative tank; 17, 18 and 19th were readable, but Im only getting = partial IDs since then -=20 =20 At times I can still see DCF39 weakly on the bottom screen of = http://kl7l.com/LF00000.jpg=20 =20 HF isn't much better. At least we have a lot more light now to play = in- =20 73 Laurence KL7 L WE2 XPQ WH2XBA/5 BP51IP Palmer Wasilla Alaska ------=_NextPart_000_007B_01D06599.0C924AA0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Hi Laurence and Roelof, Yes that was a = big one on=20 the 17th. I dont remember the Dst being depressed to -230nT for some = quite long=20 time. My thumbnail estimate says that it could take at least 14 days and = possibly up to 21 days to really get back to to good conditions again. = The=20 succession of shocks really loaded up the ring current, and although the = Dst has=20 risen to -35nT its rate of increase has flattened out.
Because the CME "snow-ploughed" it way = though a=20 coronal hole high speed stream the event produced a large multiple = proton event=20 which has died away now, but the PCA effects tend to linger. We are = still=20 gettting shocks (Kp 6 yesterday and Kp=3D5 today) which may be = "sub-storms".=20 These occur when ions and electrons trapped in the mageto-tail are = "spat=20 back" towards Earth (another glob of plasma is spat in the opposite = direction to=20 conserve momentum) The mechanism is much like he release of energy from = the=20 strained Solar magnetic field that produced the CME. The trapped hot = electrons=20 "wind up" the field in the magneto-tail until it "snaps" into a lower = energy=20 state. The lost energy is carried by the ejected particles.
 
Alan
G3NYK 
 
----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Laurence KL7 L =
Sent: Monday, March 23, 2015 = 3:57=20 PM
Subject: LF: Poor = conditions

Since the 17th at 0650Z  and the start of the = latest=20 solar wind/geo effective uptick there have been no = skywave WSPR2=20 475kHz decodes here in Alaska - this is the longest run of "nil = points" Ive=20 seen for a long time. That's nearly a week=20 -
 
However  down on 136kHz, and keep my "is my = rx=20 working" sanity JA1CGM continues to blast away as "CGM" =  most nights=20 on QRSS60, sometime faster, around 136.1725 - 0930-1100Z on the = better=20 days making the 5000Kms or so path
 
 Signals have = gradually=20 deteriorated as we continue to top up the attenuative tank; 17, 18 and = 19th=20 were readable, but Im only getting partial IDs since then - =
 
At=20 times  I can still see DCF39 weakly on the bottom screen of =   http://kl7l.com/LF00000.jpg 
 = ;
HF=20 isn't much better. At least we have a lot more light now to play=20 in-
 
73
Laurence KL7 L  WE2 XPQ  = WH2XBA/5
BP51IP=20 Palmer Wasilla Alaska
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