Return-Path: Received: from post.thorcom.com (post.thorcom.com [195.171.43.25]) by mtain-dk01.r1000.mx.aol.com (Internet Inbound) with ESMTP id EEF01380000BE; Wed, 7 Mar 2012 11:32:57 -0500 (EST) Received: from majordom by post.thorcom.com with local (Exim 4.14) id 1S5Jm7-0002JO-5j for rs_out_1@blacksheep.org; Wed, 07 Mar 2012 16:31:39 +0000 Received: from [195.171.43.32] (helo=relay1.thorcom.net) by post.thorcom.com with esmtp (Exim 4.14) id 1S5Jm6-0002JF-O8 for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Wed, 07 Mar 2012 16:31:38 +0000 Received: from mail-qy0-f171.google.com ([209.85.216.171]) by relay1.thorcom.net with esmtp (Exim 4.63) (envelope-from ) id 1S5Jm4-0007Hs-6W for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Wed, 07 Mar 2012 16:31:38 +0000 Received: by qcsp15 with SMTP id p15so5344853qcs.16 for ; Wed, 07 Mar 2012 08:31:30 -0800 (PST) DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=gmail.com; s=20120113; h=mime-version:in-reply-to:references:date:message-id:subject:from:to :content-type:content-transfer-encoding; bh=aPL7rIEgh8tKA/wI1AfH6x7607WEgVZPLf2UY+JDuQU=; b=UZhjsp0YCQ72eTWHUOP9922jB0gVwLOYFFqPrjQ8NKZR0j9BEZtUfpNeOklPVu4L1N PBYmWYFFvPEluxXWLGnWXPtU8ZlJvTVj2RDHrRLdQQGvRnX1Z3wS39D7rTgfP8KTu7ud O94sAyy9I4TScVpJ4UUvBO/tu6WWQFkwznbZT1lapsUU2r3VIf/C+MX5EWD7pMDG/FV1 EZpH7sjLVyGmVFY9yc+rSYx32IMMfbWOBiZUu9/aFw089uWlwHLAJU2c2ZESOYq7mbpx DaRfpMB5a3kKvjtiqd/mMchI//Dpc0ivMlTUsV/a4oAsYrpkY6UODkdwEjsRJyoEBZoF mtYg== MIME-Version: 1.0 Received: by 10.224.59.209 with SMTP id m17mr2061669qah.5.1331137885230; Wed, 07 Mar 2012 08:31:25 -0800 (PST) Received: by 10.229.137.148 with HTTP; Wed, 7 Mar 2012 08:31:25 -0800 (PST) In-Reply-To: <1331133064.86438.YahooMailClassic@web86501.mail.ird.yahoo.com> References: <1331133064.86438.YahooMailClassic@web86501.mail.ird.yahoo.com> Date: Wed, 7 Mar 2012 11:31:25 -0500 Message-ID: From: Warren Ziegler To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org X-Spam-Score: 0.0 (/) X-Spam-Report: autolearn=disabled,none Subject: Re: LF: What say the Propagation Gurus? Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1 Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 2.63 (2004-01-11) on post.thorcom.com X-Spam-Level: X-Spam-Status: No, hits=0.0 required=5.0 tests=none autolearn=no version=2.63 X-SA-Exim-Scanned: Yes Sender: owner-rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org Precedence: bulk Reply-To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org X-Listname: rsgb_lf_group X-SA-Exim-Rcpt-To: rs_out_1@blacksheep.org X-SA-Exim-Scanned: No; SAEximRunCond expanded to false x-aol-global-disposition: G X-AOL-SCOLL-SCORE: 0:2:506514144:93952408 X-AOL-SCOLL-URL_COUNT: 0 X-AOL-SCOLL-AUTHENTICATION: mail_rly_antispam_dkim-d022.2 ; domain : gmail.com DKIM : pass x-aol-sid: 3039ac1db4054f578db805db X-AOL-IP: 195.171.43.25 X-AOL-SPF: domain : blacksheep.org SPF : none Hi Alan, Thanks for the update! Sorry to hear about your PC crash! Listening on HF this morning and it looks like very high absorption and lots of fading/QSB. 73 Warren On Wed, Mar 7, 2012 at 10:11 AM, ALAN MELIA wro= te: > Sorry for letting you all down......after all those quiet periods just as= things get interesting, I have had a major PC crash and have not rebuilt t= hat machine yet(Idleness rules!). It has my html editor and images on it. I= am keeping tabs on things with a notebook. > > Unfortunately I dont have all the "research" bookmarks on this machine. T= he SWPC warning email suggests a Kp of 6 from the first storm but I believe= there may be a bigger one on the way( arrive thursday nite or friday ). Th= ere is the possibility that the effects will be additive leading to a prolo= nged period of poor conditions. > > The state of the recovery is best indicated by the Dst index, and the rat= e it is returning towards -20 nT. I would not be surprised if conditions we= re down for around 3 weeks, with localised better days in the lst week. The= consolation is that daytime propagation my improve for a couple of days af= ter the mag storms, but it will never be better than the night-time conditi= ons. > > Alan > G3NYK > > > --- On Wed, 7/3/12, Warren Ziegler wrote: > >> From: Warren Ziegler >> Subject: LF: What say the Propagation Gurus? >> To: "rsgb_lf_group" >> Date: Wednesday, 7 March, 2012, 14:29 >> Seems like an active >> solar/geomagnetic period is upon us! >> Any thoughts from the propagation experts (Alan this means >> you!) as to >> what this portends for LF/MF conditions? >> >> >> -- >> 73 Warren K2ORS >> =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WD2XGJ >> =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WD2XSH/23 >> =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WE2XEB/2 >> =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WE2XGR/1 >> >> > --=20 73 Warren K2ORS =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WD2XGJ =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WD2XSH/23 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WE2XEB/2 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 WE2XGR/1