Return-Path: Received: from post.thorcom.com (post.thorcom.com [195.171.43.25]) by mtain-dk01.r1000.mx.aol.com (Internet Inbound) with ESMTP id 33C4A3800009B; Thu, 8 Mar 2012 15:29:19 -0500 (EST) Received: from majordom by post.thorcom.com with local (Exim 4.14) id 1S5jwK-0006xp-2e for rs_out_1@blacksheep.org; Thu, 08 Mar 2012 20:27:56 +0000 Received: from [195.171.43.32] (helo=relay1.thorcom.net) by post.thorcom.com with esmtp (Exim 4.14) id 1S5jwJ-0006xg-4s for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Thu, 08 Mar 2012 20:27:55 +0000 Received: from relay.uni-heidelberg.de ([129.206.100.212]) by relay1.thorcom.net with esmtp (Exim 4.63) (envelope-from ) id 1S5jwH-0002Ee-Hd for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Thu, 08 Mar 2012 20:27:55 +0000 Received: from freitag.iup.uni-heidelberg.de (freitag.iup.uni-heidelberg.de [129.206.29.204]) by relay.uni-heidelberg.de (8.14.1/8.14.1) with ESMTP id q28KRqM8008352 (version=TLSv1/SSLv3 cipher=DHE-RSA-AES256-SHA bits=256 verify=NO) for ; Thu, 8 Mar 2012 21:27:52 +0100 Received: from [129.206.22.206] (pc206.iup.uni-heidelberg.de [129.206.22.206]) by freitag.iup.uni-heidelberg.de (8.12.11.20060308/8.11.2) with ESMTP id q28KRqhf003140 for ; Thu, 8 Mar 2012 21:27:52 +0100 Message-ID: <4F59160C.7010102@iup.uni-heidelberg.de> Date: Thu, 08 Mar 2012 21:26:52 +0100 From: =?ISO-8859-1?Q?Stefan_Sch=E4fer?= User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (Windows; U; Windows NT 6.1; de; rv:1.9.1.8) Gecko/20100227 Thunderbird/3.0.3 MIME-Version: 1.0 To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org References: <1331133064.86438.YahooMailClassic@web86501.mail.ird.yahoo.com> In-Reply-To: <1331133064.86438.YahooMailClassic@web86501.mail.ird.yahoo.com> X-Spam-Score: 1.4 (+) X-Spam-Report: autolearn=disabled,RATWARE_GECKO_BUILD=1.426 Subject: Re: LF: What say the Propagation Gurus? Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 2.63 (2004-01-11) on post.thorcom.com X-Spam-Level: X-Spam-Status: No, hits=0.0 required=5.0 tests=none autolearn=no version=2.63 X-SA-Exim-Scanned: Yes Sender: owner-rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org Precedence: bulk Reply-To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org X-Listname: rsgb_lf_group X-SA-Exim-Rcpt-To: rs_out_1@blacksheep.org X-SA-Exim-Scanned: No; SAEximRunCond expanded to false x-aol-global-disposition: G X-AOL-SCOLL-SCORE: 0:2:479767968:93952408 X-AOL-SCOLL-URL_COUNT: 0 x-aol-sid: 3039ac1db4054f59169f7b6e X-AOL-IP: 195.171.43.25 X-AOL-SPF: domain : blacksheep.org SPF : none Hi Alan, What do you think, could the high geomag activity be an improvement for the parth DL-> VK/ZL? The path has a bearing of 79 deg from here, so maybe its good that the signals coming through the auroral oval are well attenuated. This is the path DK7FC -> VK1SV: http://no.nonsense.ee/qthmap/?qth=JN49IK&from=qf44mt 73, Stefan/DK7FC Am 07.03.2012 16:11, schrieb ALAN MELIA: > Sorry for letting you all down......after all those quiet periods just as things get interesting, I have had a major PC crash and have not rebuilt that machine yet(Idleness rules!). It has my html editor and images on it. I am keeping tabs on things with a notebook. > > Unfortunately I dont have all the "research" bookmarks on this machine. The SWPC warning email suggests a Kp of 6 from the first storm but I believe there may be a bigger one on the way( arrive thursday nite or friday ). There is the possibility that the effects will be additive leading to a prolonged period of poor conditions. > > The state of the recovery is best indicated by the Dst index, and the rate it is returning towards -20 nT. I would not be surprised if conditions were down for around 3 weeks, with localised better days in the lst week. The consolation is that daytime propagation my improve for a couple of days after the mag storms, but it will never be better than the night-time conditions. > > Alan > G3NYK > >