Return-Path: X-Spam-DCC: paranoid 1290; Body=2 Fuz1=2 Fuz2=2 X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 3.1.3 (2006-06-01) on lipkowski.org X-Spam-Level: * X-Spam-Status: No, score=1.7 required=5.0 tests=BAYES_00,DNS_FROM_AHBL_RHSBL, FORGED_MUA_OUTLOOK autolearn=no version=3.1.3 Received: from post.thorcom.com (post.thorcom.com [195.171.43.25]) by paranoid.lipkowski.org (8.13.7/8.13.7) with ESMTP id t45NYdtn032647 for ; Wed, 6 May 2015 01:34:39 +0200 Received: from majordom by post.thorcom.com with local (Exim 4.14) id 1YpmEG-0003VI-3W for rs_out_1@blacksheep.org; Wed, 06 May 2015 00:26:20 +0100 Received: from [195.171.43.32] (helo=relay1.thorcom.net) by post.thorcom.com with esmtp (Exim 4.14) id 1YpmEF-0003V9-6r for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Wed, 06 May 2015 00:26:19 +0100 Received: from rgout01.bt.lon5.cpcloud.co.uk ([65.20.0.178]) by relay1.thorcom.net with esmtp (Exim 4.85) (envelope-from ) id 1YpmED-00068X-0D for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Wed, 06 May 2015 00:26:18 +0100 X-OWM-Source-IP: 81.129.180.111(GB) X-OWM-Env-Sender: alan.melia@btinternet.com X-CTCH-RefID: str=0001.0A090204.55495196.0021,ss=1,re=0.000,recu=0.000,reip=0.000,cl=1,cld=1,fgs=0 X-Junkmail-Premium-Raw: score=38/50,refid=2.7.2:2015.5.3.160619:17:38.936,ip=81.129.180.111,rules=__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, MSGID_32HEX_LC, INVALID_MSGID_NO_FQDN, __MSGID_32HEX, __HAS_FROM, __PHISH_FROM2, __FRAUD_WEBMAIL_FROM, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __TO_NO_NAME, __SUBJ_ALPHA_END, __MIME_VERSION, __CT, __CT_TEXT_PLAIN, __CTE, __HAS_X_PRIORITY, __HAS_MSMAIL_PRI, __HAS_X_MAILER, USER_AGENT_OE, __OUTLOOK_MUA_1, __USER_AGENT_MS_GENERIC, __ANY_URI, __URI_NO_MAILTO, __CP_URI_IN_BODY, BODY_SIZE_700_799, BODYTEXTP_SIZE_3000_LESS, __MIME_TEXT_ONLY, RDNS_GENERIC_POOLED, __URI_NS, SXL_IP_DYNAMIC[111.180.129.81.fur], HTML_00_01, HTML_00_10, BODY_SIZE_5000_LESS, RDNS_SUSP_GENERIC, __PHISH_FROM, __OUTLOOK_MUA, __PHISH_SPEAR_STRUCTURE_1, BODY_SIZE_1000_LESS, RDNS_SUSP, BODY_SIZE_2000_LESS, __FRAUD_WEBMAIL, FORGED_MUA_OUTLOOK, BODY_SIZE_7000_LESS X-CTCH-Spam: Unknown Received: from gnat (81.129.180.111) by rgout01.bt.lon5.cpcloud.co.uk (8.6.122.06) (authenticated as alan.melia@btinternet.com) id 5544C664006EFF78; Wed, 6 May 2015 00:26:14 +0100 DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=btinternet.com; s=btcpcloud; t=1430868377; bh=eM8Cg9KdnobCosCcEgRDQab6gNoF1bDnXkXOrkrVr9w=; h=Message-ID:From:To:Subject:Date:MIME-Version:X-Mailer; b=Harv3VYv/DLlw7wqIMaUnEytGeJvPmOEzj4bxBI5xZaofvf+DO90UfAcL8NujoYfPpNirDJn9Qi5y1u94NunM9wJ4qJwi058dw6AASwmHleR4iEJylCEnFag7TCYxbz7OKJeduWA2VbH7TP5dK3ozLcFBZf6Km3pBd3OzJ9CF4M= Message-ID: From: "Alan Melia" To: , Date: Wed, 6 May 2015 00:26:08 +0100 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2900.5931 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2900.6157 X-Scan-Signature: 1f795a2ee1ecd56682b47ad11969b3d3 Subject: LF: Solar activity Content-Type: text/plain; format=flowed; charset="iso-8859-1"; reply-type=original Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-SA-Exim-Scanned: Yes Sender: owner-rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org Precedence: bulk Reply-To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org X-Listname: rsgb_lf_group X-SA-Exim-Rcpt-To: rs_out_1@blacksheep.org X-SA-Exim-Scanned: No; SAEximRunCond expanded to false X-Scanned-By: MIMEDefang 2.56 on 10.1.3.10 Status: O X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 3052 The filament event has thrown off a CME which is sheduled to impact the magnetosphere around 1800z on the 6th. The NOAA animation is quite dramatic and it looks like we will get it dead centre. the radio effect of this is somewhat dependent on the direction of the field when it arrives, but expect aurora and reduced LF signal levels from 6/7th for some following nights. The region numbered 2335 I think which is fairly central has thrown off an X2.7 flare just after 2300z. Expect another possible CME arriving any time after 2400z on the 7/8th. If both of these reconnect we could experience long period of poor LF propagation. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction for the NOAA animation. Alan G3NYK