Return-Path: X-Spam-DCC: paranoid 1290; Body=3 Fuz1=3 Fuz2=3 X-Spam-Checker-Version: SpamAssassin 3.1.3 (2006-06-01) on lipkowski.org X-Spam-Level: * X-Spam-Status: No, score=1.7 required=5.0 tests=BAYES_00,DNS_FROM_AHBL_RHSBL, FORGED_MUA_OUTLOOK autolearn=no version=3.1.3 Received: from post.thorcom.com (post.thorcom.com [195.171.43.25]) by paranoid.lipkowski.org (8.13.7/8.13.7) with ESMTP id t469tOZC001395 for ; Wed, 6 May 2015 11:55:24 +0200 Received: from majordom by post.thorcom.com with local (Exim 4.14) id 1YpvwK-0004IT-7I for rs_out_1@blacksheep.org; Wed, 06 May 2015 10:48:28 +0100 Received: from [195.171.43.32] (helo=relay1.thorcom.net) by post.thorcom.com with esmtp (Exim 4.14) id 1YpvwJ-0004IK-NX for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Wed, 06 May 2015 10:48:27 +0100 Received: from rgout0404.bt.lon5.cpcloud.co.uk ([65.20.0.217]) by relay1.thorcom.net with esmtp (Exim 4.85) (envelope-from ) id 1YpvwH-0007Pa-1f for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Wed, 06 May 2015 10:48:26 +0100 X-OWM-Source-IP: 81.129.180.111(GB) X-OWM-Env-Sender: alan.melia@btinternet.com X-CTCH-RefID: str=0001.0A090201.5549E367.0045,ss=1,re=0.000,recu=0.000,reip=0.000,cl=1,cld=1,fgs=0 X-Junkmail-Premium-Raw: score=38/50,refid=2.7.2:2015.5.3.174516:17:38.936,ip=81.129.180.111,rules=__HAS_MSGID, __SANE_MSGID, MSGID_32HEX_LC, INVALID_MSGID_NO_FQDN, __MSGID_32HEX, __HAS_FROM, __PHISH_FROM2, __FRAUD_WEBMAIL_FROM, __TO_MALFORMED_2, __TO_NO_NAME, __REFERENCES, __BOUNCE_CHALLENGE_SUBJ, __BOUNCE_NDR_SUBJ_EXEMPT, __SUBJ_ALPHA_END, __MIME_VERSION, __CT, __CT_TEXT_PLAIN, __CTE, __HAS_X_PRIORITY, __HAS_MSMAIL_PRI, __HAS_X_MAILER, USER_AGENT_OE, __OUTLOOK_MUA_1, __USER_AGENT_MS_GENERIC, __ANY_URI, __CP_URI_IN_BODY, __SUBJ_ALPHA_NEGATE, __FORWARDED_MSG, BODYTEXTP_SIZE_3000_LESS, BODY_SIZE_1600_1699, __MIME_TEXT_ONLY, RDNS_GENERIC_POOLED, __URI_NS, SXL_IP_DYNAMIC[111.180.129.81.fur], HTML_00_01, HTML_00_10, BODY_SIZE_5000_LESS, RDNS_SUSP_GENERIC, __PHISH_FROM, __OUTLOOK_MUA, __PHISH_SPEAR_STRUCTURE_1, RDNS_SUSP, BODY_SIZE_2000_LESS, __FRAUD_WEBMAIL, FORGED_MUA_OUTLOOK, BODY_SIZE_7000_LESS, REFERENCES X-CTCH-Spam: Unknown Received: from gnat (81.129.180.111) by rgout04.bt.lon5.cpcloud.co.uk (8.6.122.06) (authenticated as alan.melia@btinternet.com) id 55437C80009988D8 for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Wed, 6 May 2015 10:48:04 +0100 DKIM-Signature: v=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=btinternet.com; s=btcpcloud; t=1430905686; bh=Dt0RfUSaWsweE4t2c3FLRlMfeUD50nXbAz6DhKwVYXU=; h=Message-ID:From:To:References:Subject:Date:MIME-Version:X-Mailer; b=OFM3Lmlx5i3VTN5TETGP4+zjvB0CZNbySf9QJh+WfyBO5ByThlH8YrWmI/QM+aECiEb30iLNKUgVnWiHIqracCFrtAD79XSYxBalow4coETUBelX88Jzfp47JyS05pVMxGhBJe3PxslLhFnfX7RZlgq7cP18OaKGRyTin5i6SpU= Message-ID: <6E4BF8DE1ED84703A66CCC44FBF76D5A@gnat> From: "Alan Melia" To: References: <5549715C.2040407@charter.net> Date: Wed, 6 May 2015 10:48:19 +0100 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 6.00.2900.5931 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2900.6157 X-Scan-Signature: c0336009bd9bab526ca27d297ea7579a Subject: Re: LF: Solar activity Content-Type: text/plain; format=flowed; charset="Windows-1252"; reply-type=response Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-SA-Exim-Scanned: Yes Sender: owner-rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org Precedence: bulk Reply-To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org X-Listname: rsgb_lf_group X-SA-Exim-Rcpt-To: rs_out_1@blacksheep.org X-SA-Exim-Scanned: No; SAEximRunCond expanded to false X-Scanned-By: MIMEDefang 2.56 on 10.1.3.10 Status: O X-Status: X-Keywords: X-UID: 3055 Hi John thanks for that, when I posted I could not find reference to the location other than solar coordinates which confuse me :-)) I just guessed the more central spot might be the source of such a big response. Yes if its on the limb it will probably miss or be a "glancing blow". However it seems to be "winding up" again, so there are some more chances in the next few days. The NOAA animation was almost addictive for today's event :-)) Alan G3NYK ----- Original Message ----- From: "John Andrews" To: Sent: Wednesday, May 06, 2015 2:41 AM Subject: Re: LF: Solar activity > Alan, > > Looks like the X class flare was from region 2239, near the eastern limb, > so a CME might be a miss. > > John, W1TAG > > On 5/5/2015 7:26 PM, Alan Melia wrote: >> The filament event has thrown off a CME which is sheduled to impact the >> magnetosphere around 1800z on the 6th. The NOAA animation is quite >> dramatic and it looks like we will get it dead centre. the radio effect >> of this is somewhat dependent on the direction of the field when it >> arrives, but expect aurora and reduced LF signal levels from 6/7th for >> some following nights. >> >> The region numbered 2335 I think which is fairly central has thrown off >> an X2.7 flare just after 2300z. Expect another possible CME arriving any >> time after 2400z on the 7/8th. If both of these reconnect we could >> experience long period of poor LF propagation. >> >> http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction for >> the NOAA animation. >> >> Alan >> G3NYK >> >