Return-Path: <majordom@post.thorcom.com> Received: (qmail 25708 invoked from network); 2 Oct 2001 13:13:29 -0000 Received: from unknown (HELO warrior-inbound.services.quay.plus.net) (212.159.14.227) by excalibur.plus.net with SMTP; 2 Oct 2001 13:13:29 -0000 Received: (qmail 1371 invoked from network); 2 Oct 2001 13:11:20 -0000 Received: from unknown (HELO post.thorcom.com) (212.172.148.70) by warrior with SMTP; 2 Oct 2001 13:11:20 -0000 Received: from majordom by post.thorcom.com with local (Exim 3.16 #2) id 15oPBL-000063-00 for rsgb_lf_group-outgoing@blacksheep.org; Tue, 02 Oct 2001 14:01:55 +0100 Received: from rhenium.btinternet.com ([194.73.73.93] helo=rhenium) by post.thorcom.com with esmtp (Exim 3.16 #2) id 15oPBK-00005y-00 for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Tue, 02 Oct 2001 14:01:54 +0100 Received: from [62.7.31.25] (helo=default) by rhenium with smtp (Exim 3.22 #6) id 15oPAe-00006F-00 for rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org; Tue, 02 Oct 2001 14:01:12 +0100 Message-ID: <000101c14b41$c4b2e3a0$191f073e@default> From: "Alan Melia" <Alan.Melia@btinternet.com> To: "LF-Group" <rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org> Subject: LF: Propagation Date: Tue, 2 Oct 2001 10:30:55 +0100 MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=iso-8859-1; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit X-Priority: 3 X-MSMail-Priority: Normal X-Mailer: Microsoft Outlook Express 4.72.3110.5 X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.2800.1106 Precedence: bulk Reply-To: rsgb_lf_group@blacksheep.org X-Listname: rsgb_lf_group Sender: <majordom@post.thorcom.com> Hi all, the Sun is really quite active again at the moment. We received a CME shock front on Monday at about 0900z, which lifted the Kp index to 6 for 6 hours. If this follows my prediction it should lead to ionospheric effects by the weekend (about 4 days after the arrival of the plasma 'glob') This could result in an enhancement of the daytime signal levels and good conditions to Europe again over the 5th, 6th and 7th of October. (see my explanation in the DC Cluster posting). Conversely it will probably lead to increased absorption at night and lower signal levels by 'skywave' accompanied by rapid and deep fading. So if you didn't catch the DX last weekend it might be worth being around next Saturday, morning is usualy looking best. Good Hunting Cheers de Alan G3NYK Alan.Melia@btinternet.com